Publicaties

A hard landing of the Chinese economy and growing social unrest remain downside risks.

What is the future of the Hong Kong dollar peg with the US dollar? US Fed rate hikes may not be enough to change the currency regime, but increasing integration with the Chinese economy may.

In the French construction segment revenues and investments remain low, competition is fierce, and prices and profitability are both being squeezed.

Construction output is expected to increase again, but poor payment behaviour of public buyers remains an issue.

Cooperatives and SMEs focused on domestic residential construction remain highly exposed to the risk of business failure.

The recovery of the Dutch construction sector continued in 2015, but remains one-sided.

Insolvencies are expected to decline further, but at a slower pace than in 2015.

The level of payment delays and insolvencies is expected to remain high.

Payments in the construction sector still take more than 100 days on average.

Despite the overall rebound in output, construction remains affected by trailing effects of the past recession.

Debt levels have increased and margins have decreased, especially for smaller businesses.

Improved outlook due to a better business environment and large infrastructure projects.

Caution is advised for construction materials exporters dependent on the Chinese market.

Uncertainty about interest rates and currency volatility could derail the performance in 2016.

Payment experience has been bad over the past year, and insolvencies increased in 2015.

The sharp decrease in oil prices has a negative impact on construction activities.

Insolvencies are forecast to fall only 3% across advanced markets in 2016, the worst performance since 2012.

Business insolvencies expected to increase 6% in 2016 as the slump in the mining sector continues.

Economic growth forecast to slow down to 6.3% in 2016, but no hard landing expected for the time being.

Robust growth, but high levels of corporate debt. The pace of structural reforms remains too slow.

External indebtedness poses a risk to Indonesian businesses, and economic growth is slowing down further.

Slow pace of economic recovery, with GDP expected to grow 1% in 2016, and inflation remaining stubbornly low.

Lower growth in 2016 (up 4.4%), but robust economic fundamentals remain.

GDP expected to grow above 5% in 2016 due to robust private consumption, but the business environment remains difficult.

Economic performance impacted by slower growth in China and Southeast Asia.

High household indebtedness weighs on private consumption, and exports are affected by the slowdown in China.

Productivity increases and economic diversification are the main long-term challenges.

GDP growth in 2016 (up 2.5%) still below the country´s growth potential, and political uncertainty remains an issue.

Stable growth (up 6.4% in 2016) and inflation back under control, but the economic fundamentals still show some weaknesses.

Atradius picks the top 8 markets for business opportunities in 2016. These emerging markets have been showing strong performances over the past three years and are expected to improve further in 2016.

The first increase in US interest rates in almost 10 years may lead to trouble in emerging markets.

Food exports grew 2.1% in 2014 and are expected to increase further in 2015.

The French food industry has benefited from falling raw material prices and a weaker euro, which helped boost competitiveness abroad.

Despite decreasing sales, businesses' equity strength remains good in this sector, but larger groups and producing companies are usually better capitalised than wholesalers or retailers.

Due to the weaker exchange rate and increased demand from overseas markets, Dutch food exports increased in 2015 and are expected to rise further in 2016.

Italian profit margins have decreased in 2015 but are expected to remain stable in 2016.

In 2015, Polish food exports are expected to reach a historical peak.

Profitability of food producers has increased in 2014 and is expected to remain stable in 2015.

The Irish food sector has benefited from the weaker euro, the rebound of the Irish economy and growing consumer confidence.

Prices for food have grown and local production has increased in order to subsitute lacking imports.

The average payment duration in the Spanish food industry is 70 days.

Food business insolvencies are expected to increase by about 15% in 2015.

Profit margins of food businesses in the United States are expected to remain stable in 2016.

Natural gas prices have fallen significantly in Asia and Europe on the back of the sliding oil price. As more LNG comes on the market regional prices are set to remain low.

Robust growth rates persist, but lower exports hurt the manufacturing sector.

Crucial reforms have been passed, but their proper implementation remains to be seen.

Growth is expected to slow down, while business insolvencies to increase in 2015 and 2016.

Atradius survey shows an uptick in late payment of B2B invoices in China, which can have a knock-on effect on the liquidity of some businesses in several countries in Asia Pacific.

Nearly half of the respondents in Australia said that the risk of payment delay and default from B2B buyers has increased over the past six months. One in five respondents rated it as “significant”.

62.0% of the businesses surveyed in China (compared to 46.3% in Asia Pacific) reported that domestic B2B customers have slowed invoice payment due to liquidity problems over the past year.