Publications

The global economy is losing steam in 2019 and 2020. As the trade war accelerates this, consumer resilience will help avoid recession.

Regaining investors’ trust will be key to Fernández’s success in reinvigorating the Argentinian economy, but it is not the only thing.

Cyprus's economy is on solid ground but crisis legacies persist.

Ireland’s highly open economy is cooling off and demand in export markets is set to remain weak while the domestic economy faces increasing capacity constraints and lower government spending.

Economic growth in Spain is expected to be strong this year (2.3%), although slightly lower than last year.

In 2019, another 4% increase is expected in Swiss insolvencies.

Another 3% increase in insolvencies, following those recorded in the past couple of years, is expected this year in Sweden.

This year, Austria’s economic expansion is expected to decelerate to around 1.5%, due to weaker exports, decreasing investment and lower industrial production growth.

Economic growth in Denmark is forecast to increase to 2% this year.

Economic growth in Belgium is expected to slowdown to 1.2% this year and in 2020.

Economic growth in Greece is projected to reach approximately the level of 2% in 2019 and 2020.

In France, the number of insolvencies is forecast to increase 3% this year due to decelerating economic activity.

The UK is facing the highest increase in insolvencies in 2019 and 2020 in Western Europe.

In Italy, business insolvencies are expected to increase in 2019, by about 4%. This is due to economic stagnation, increased political uncertainty and tighter credit conditions.

Economic growth in Germany is expected to cool to 0.6% in 2019 down from 1.6% one year ago.

GDP growth in the Netherlands is expected to slow to 1.7% in 2019. After several years of sharp decreases in insolvencies, this year is likely to mark a turning point.

As economic growth decelerates, and the manufacturing sector struggles amid lower global trade, Western Europe expects to close the year with a 2.7% increase in insolvencies.

Insolvencies are rising, and structural weaknesses and the negative impact of sanctions on productivity and investment weigh on the economic expansion.

Due to the recent economic downturn the credit risk situation of some major industries has deteriorated, and insolvencies are expected to increase.

Worries over the impact of adverse external factors like US import tariffs and the Brexit decision on Polish export and investment growth remain.